Article

What’s in Store for Drug Prices Over the Next Year?

December 3, 2024
Two pharmacists next to medications discussing one item in particular
The summer 2024 Pharmacy Market Outlook offers fresh insights into prescription drug prices for the upcoming year. They include estimated changes in the price of drugs that pharmacy program members of Provista and Vizient, Provista’s contracting partner, will purchase between Jan. 1, 2025, and Dec. 31, 2025.
infographic featuring pharmacists next to wall of medication, statistical numbers, and vials

PROJECTED INCREASES IN DRUG PRICES BY HEALTHCARE CATEGORIES

3.81%: Overall estimated drug price inflation rate

  • 2.94%: Increase for contract products
  • 3.88%: Increase for non-contract products

Autoimmune and chronic inflammatory diseases

  • 3.10%: Projected inflation rate
  • 22.98%: Portion of overall program drug spend
  • 50 million: Americans who may have an autoimmune disease

6 of the top 15 medications for total Provista and Vizient pharmacy program spend are in this therapeutic area
 
Biosimilars

  • 0.53%: Projected inflation rate
  • 17.52%: Portion of drug spend
  • 61 biosimilar agents approved across 19 molecules

Cardiopulmonary diseases

  • 3.70%: Projected inflation rate
  • 5.08%: Portion of drug spend

Endocrine and metabolic diseases

  • 3.81%: Projected inflation rate
  • 10.72%: Portion of drug spend

Hematological therapies

  • 2.73%: Projected inflation rate
  • 8.68%: Portion of drug spend

Infectious diseases

  • 3.36%: Projected inflation rate
  • 7.22%: Portion of drug spend

Neurology

  •  3.80%: Projected inflation rate
  • 5.11%: Portion of drug spend
  • 1 in 3: People worldwide estimated to develop a neurological disorder during their lifetime
  • $1.7 trillion per year: Cost of neurological disorders

Oncology

  •  4.18%: Projected inflation rate
  • 24.14%: Portion of drug spend
  • $187 billion: Spending on oncology in the U.S. by 2028

Pediatrics

  •  3.88%: Projected inflation rate

Plasma

  •  3.50%: Projected inflation rate
  • 4.17%: Portion of drug spend 
HEALTHCARE SPENDING ON MEDICATIONS
  • $435 billion in 2023: U.S. spending on medications, up 9.9%
  • $19 billion: Spending on new brand-name medications in 2023
  • $122 billion: Spending on new brand-name medications over the next 5 years
  • 3.4 million units: Essential medications to patients through the Novaplus® Enhanced Supply Program—drugs that otherwise would not have been available 
4 FACTORS DRIVING DRUG INFLATION RATES
  1. An increase in specialty and ultra-expensive medications dominating recent new drug approvals
  2.  Additional indications granted for previously approved medications, increasing utilization
  3. Previously approved products with higher-than-customary price increases
  4. Payer restrictions influence site of care and class of trade for pharmacy services

Download the Pharmacy Market Outlook

 

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